The effects of population ageing on health care expenditure in Iran

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management,urmia university

2 Economics, Faculty Of Economics and Management, urmia university

3 economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, urmia university

Abstract

introduction : one of the factors influencing the health cost of the population , the increasing growth of health costs in most countries and the outcome has led many research to investigate effective factors on health costs in the last decade . the aim of this study is investigating the impact of aging population on health sector costs in iran . the study methodology : this study of the kind of analytic study in the realm of economic sciences has been used to study the effect of aging population , economic growth and urbanization on health sector costs in iran , in order to use Bayesian - VAR method . statistical data from internet sites , especially the central bank , data center and the world bank have been prepared and data analysis has been done by Eviews software . the findings indicated that 1 / 0 changes in health care costs caused by population changes can increase over 2 % with an increase of one percent of the elderly population , as well as the growth of health and welfare conditions in cities and economic growth by increasing the level of economic welfare and increasing public health will reduce the cost of health . the results : the results of the research show that by increasing the level of health expenditure , both investors and planners must do the required infrastructure for the aging population to reduce its effects to the extent possible .

Keywords